Not Again

Another Tropical Threat Is Brewing in the Atlantic

Meteorologist Bob Bunting predicts another named storm will form that could intensify as it approaches Florida, thanks to warm seas.

By Bob Bunting November 5, 2022

A current look at the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico

A current look at the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico

Image: NOAA

Have you noticed how humid and warm it's been over the past few days?

That's because a big, moist tropical system is covering much of the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico—and a massive cloud cluster is moving westward, as indicated in this NOAA satellite image.

It's November, but the tropics have already spawned two hurricanes this month—and it looks like this could be the busiest month of the 2022 hurricane season

Take a look at this sea surface temperature analysis.

Sea surfaces temperatures in November 2022

This map shows the anomaly of current sea surface temperatures relative to the mean temperature the sea water should be right now, in early November. Blue means it's colder than normal; yellow and red indicate warmer and much warmer than normal, respectively.  The area near Florida—in the blue oval—is 3-5 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal.  That's a lot.

So here we go again. As that cloud system moves east, into the blue oval in the first image, look for a tropical depression to form. Soon after, I predict another named storm will form that could intensify as it approaches Florida. 

The geographical size of this potential storm could be quite large. Sea surface temperatures this warm can certainly support Category 1 to Category 3 hurricanes.  Warm seas are rocket fuel for hurricanes.

So the potential is there for another storm—now you know. I'll keep you posted.

Bob Bunting is a scientist, entrepreneur and educator and the CEO of the nation’s first Climate Adaptation Center (CAC), headquartered in Sarasota. The Climate Adaptation Center is an expert resource to inform government, academe and the private sector so they can create the necessary adaptation strategies and actions to protect the Florida way of life and foster the climate economy as well as larger global solutions evolve to solve the climate problem. For more information, visit

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