Strong winds across the ever-expanding Sahara Desert are creating a massive 2,000-mile dust cloud with two major pulses. As the earth warms, we are seeing more climate impacts that are both awesome in scope and a bit scary even to an atmospheric scientist.
What are the implications from this particular event? The most important and most agreed-upon result will be a tamping down of tropical storm activity while the cloud is over the tropical Atlantic. Dust is usually embedded in very dry desert air and hurricanes don’t like that. In addition, the dust acts as a reflector, keeping the sun from warming the top layers of the ocean.
Due to arrive in the Gulf of Mexico between Thursday and Saturday, we should see some spectacular sunrises and sunsets—and we don’t know how long it will take for the dust to pass. It depends on how soon the winds whipping though the Sahara die down. Sometimes the pulses continue for weeks, and sometimes they are just a transient event.
Another possible outcome, which is much less certain, is an enhancement of red tide in Florida in a month or so. The dust is loaded with iron, and as the cloud passes over the Gulf of Mexico some of it will sift down into the water. The Gulf of Mexico at this time of year is loaded with cyanobacteria. Some scientists believe that certain cyanobacteria in the presence of iron can covert nitrogen into a bioavailable form loved by red tide. We shall see!
Bob Bunting is a scientist, entrepreneur and educator and the CEO of the nation’s first Climate Adaptation Center CAC, headquartered in Sarasota. The Climate Adaptation Center is an expert resource to inform government, academe and the private sector so they can create the necessary adaptation strategies and actions to protect the Florida way of life and foster the climate economy while larger global solutions evolve to solve the climate problem. Contact Bob at [email protected] for more information.